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Sponsored
by:
Supported by
a grant from:
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IMA
Health 2007 - Final Programme
Time |
Monday
2nd April |
Time |
Tuesday
3rd April |
Time |
Wednesday
4th April |
9:00 |
Registration
and Coffee |
9:00 |
Keynote:
Mike Pidd
Chair: Martin Pitt, Peninsula Medical School, UK |
9:10 |
Parallel
Sessions 6
A-Chair: Paul Harper, Univ. of Southampton
B-Chair: Adele Marshall, Queen’s Univ., Belfast,
UK |
10:00 |
Welcome by Conference
Chair
Thierry Chaussalet, Univ. of Westminster, UK |
9:40 |
Transition Break |
10:50 |
Coffee Break |
10:10 |
Keynote:
Nigel Edwards
Chair: Peter Millard, Univ. of Westminster, UK |
9:50 |
Parallel
Sessions 3
A-Chair: Adele Marshall, Queen’s Univ.,
Belfast, UK
B-Chair: David Worthington, Lancaster University,
UK |
11:20 |
Keynote:
Nick Barber
Chair: Thierry Chaussalet, Univ. of Westminster, UK |
11:10 |
Coffee Break |
11:10 |
Coffee Break |
12:00 |
Keynote:
Steve Gallivan
Chair: Thierry Chaussalet, Univ. of Westminster, UK |
11:40 |
Parallel
Sessions 1
A-Chair:
Martin Pitt, Peninsula Medical School, UK
B-Chair:
Simon Jones, Dr Foster Intelligence, UK
|
11:40 |
Parallel
Sessions 4
A-Chair: Jean-Michel Nguyen, CHU Nantes, France
B-Chair: Sally McClean, Univ. of Ulster, UK |
12:40 |
Closing Remarks
etc |
1:00 |
Lunch |
1:00 |
Lunch |
1:00 |
Lunch |
2:00 |
Keynote:
Andrew Dillon
Chair: Alan Brennan, Sheffield Univ., UK |
2:00 |
Keynote:
Yasar Ozcan
Chair: Martin Utley, Univ. College London, UK |
2:00 |
Optional:
Group meetings, special presentations, further discussions, social
activities, etc. |
3:00 |
Posters
Introduction
Chair: Thierry Chaussalet, Univ. of Westminster, UK |
2:40 |
Transition Break |
3:30 |
Coffee Break |
2:45 |
Parallel
Sessions 5
A-Chair: John Blake, Dalhousie Univ., Canada
B-Chair: Rose Baker, Salford Univ., UK |
4:00 |
Parallel
Sessions 2
A-Chair: Martin Utley, Univ. College
London, UK
B-Chair: Martin Pitt, Peninsula Medical School, UK
C-Chair: Peter Millard, Univ. of Westminster, UK
|
4:05 |
Coffee Break |
5:20 |
Transition Break |
4:35 |
Keynote:
Stephen Chick
Chair: Ruth Davies, Warwick Univ., UK |
5:30 |
Drinks Reception
with Posters |
5:15 |
Conclude Plenary |
7:00 |
Conclude |
7:15 |
Reception and
Dinner: Russell Hotel |
All contributed presentations
within parallel sessions are allocated a 20 minute
slot, including set-up and questions.
Keynote Talks:
| Nick
Barber |
Professor,
Head of Department of Practice and Policy, School of Pharmacy, London,
UK |
Medicines,
modelling and me |
| Stephen
Chick |
Professor, INSEAD,
Fontainebleau, France |
Taxonomy
of model structures for health economics |
| Andrew
Dillon |
Chief Executive,
National Institute of Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE), UK |
Making
decisions at NICE - how models inform guidance |
| Nigel
Edwards |
Director of Policy,
NHS Confederation, UK |
Opportunities
for using modelling in healthcare policy & management |
| Steve
Gallivan |
Professor, Director
of the Clinical Operational Research Unit, University College London,
UK |
A
mathematical magic show – modelling when data are poor or non-existent |
| Mike
Pidd |
Professor, Associate
Dean, Management School, University of Lancaster, UK |
Xtreme
modelling of healthcare systems |
| Yasar
Ozcan |
Professor, Department
of Health Administration, Virginia Commonwealth University, USA |
Juxtaposition
of efficiency & quality in health care: a DEA approach |
POSTER
PRESENTATIONS:
A collection of posters
can be downloaded here
(file size: 6M).
| Special
Poster session: 5:20-7:00pm: Monday 2nd April |
| Posters
will also be displayed until the end of the conference |
| Shola
Adeyemi (University of Westminster, UK) |
Patients
flow: A mixed-effects modelling approach to predicting discharge probabilities |
| Juan
Adriano-Moran (City University, UK) |
The dynamics
of patient recruitment for a telecare system |
| Paul
Avillach (Université Victor Segalen Bordeaux 2, France) |
Modelling of
allocated operating room time based on six months activity in a teaching
hospital |
| Adam
Sutton (University of Strathclyde, UK) |
Using discrete
event simulation to explore the radiotherapy planning process |
| Chris
Brasted (NHS London, UK) |
Evaluating capacity
provision in general ultrasound: a tool for the service manager |
| Keith
Cooper (University of Southampton, UK) |
Comparing modelling
techniques for evaluating resource - constrained interventions for
coronary heart disease |
| Lucy
Culliford (University of Bristol, UK) |
Development of
a model to predict of the need for blood transfusion following cardiac
surgery |
Elena
Tubaro (Local Health Agency, Italy)
|
Projection of
demand for long-term care in an Italian region: a macrosimulation
approach |
| Vasilios
Kapsalis (Synelixi OE, Greece) |
Turning steam
into savings: the case of 417 NIMTS hospital |
| Andy
Knapton (South Central SHA, UK) |
Modelling of
the imaging workforce in support of the 18 week wait initiative |
| Stuart
Mealing (Open University, Germany) |
Prioritising
future research relating to cardiac resynchronisation therapy in people
with heart failure using non-parametric value of information analysis |
| Christine
Pelletier (University of Groningen, The Netherlands) |
Agent-based approach
long-term capacity planning model for the U.K. long-term health and
social care for elderly people |
| Marie
Persson (Blekinge Institute of Technology, Sweden) |
Analyzing management
policies for operating room planning using simulation |
| Martin
Andrew Pitt (University of Exeter, UK) |
MASHnet - addressing
future needs in healthcare modelling |
| Andrew
Ramsden (Monash Institute of Health Services Research, Australia) |
Using discrete
event simulation in the design of step-down nursery capacity |
| Anne
Ticehurst (University of Cambridge, UK) |
Can engineering
design be used to improve healthcare service delivery? |
| Christos
Vasilakis (University of Westminster, UK) |
Modelling health
systems: delivering care to older people with hip fracture |
| Jorge
Villacampa-Ortega (Barts and The London NHS Trust, UK) |
Optimisation
of NHS 18 weeks target performance & costing using deterministic
& stochastic modelling of healthcare pathways |
| Shyan
Zubair (Barts and The London NHS Trust and University of
Westminster, UK) |
Modelling the
impact of resources on turnaround times for ultrasound tests |
back
to top
PARALLEL SESSIONS
MONDAY:
| Parallel
Session 1: 11:40am-1:00pm : Monday 2nd April |
Stream
A
Location:
London House Large Common Room
Chair: Martin Pitt, Peninsula Medical School, UK
|
Ray
Paul (Brunel University, UK)
|
Healthcare
distinctiveness and singularities |
| Tom Bowen
(The Balance of Care Group, UK) |
Alternatives
to hospital: models of integrated care |
| Boris
Sobolev (University of British Colombia, Canada) |
On
study design for policy analysis using patient flow simulations |
| Steffen
Bayer (Imperial College London, UK) |
Flexibility
in healthcare infrastructure: a modelling approach |
Stream
B
Location: Churchill Room
Chair: Simon Jones, Dr Foster Intelligence, UK
|
| Robert
Michael West (University of Leeds, UK) |
Analysis
of organisational networks in intermediate care |
| Naoru
Koizumi (George Mason University, USA) |
Minimizing welfare
loss due to congestion in a mental health system: Queueing and simulation
analyses |
| Adam
Pollard (Royal
Cornwall Hospitals Trust, UK) |
Modelling the
restructuring of secondary care services in a South West England health
economy |
| Sally
McClean (University of Ulster, UK) |
Using
Markov models to help us better understand the relationship between
hospital & community care |
back
to top
| Parallel
Session 2: 4:00-5:20pm : Monday 2nd April |
Stream
A
Location: London House Large Common Room
Chair: Martin Utley, University College London, UK
|
| Dylan
Jones (University of Portsmouth, UK) |
Efficient
resource planning in a medical assessment unit |
| Paul
Harper (University of Southampton, UK) |
Incorporating
human behaviour in simulation models of screening for breast cancer |
| John
Blake (Dalhousie University, Canada) |
Getting
OR tools into the hands of users: Development of a blood donor clinic
Simulation |
| |
|
Stream
B
Location: Churchill Room
Chair: Martin Pitt, Peninsula Medical School, UK |
| Alan
Brennan (University of Sheffield, UK) |
Modelling the
cost-effectiveness and capacity impact of changes to colposcopy referral
guidelines for women with mild dyskaryosis in the UK Cervical Screening
Programme |
| Mara
Airoldi (London School of Economics, UK) |
Estimating health
gains in England from intensive glucose control in type 1 diabetes
|
| Matthew
Stevenson (University of Sheffield, UK) |
Are single use
neurosurgical and posterior eye instruments cost-effective in stopping
Iatrogenic VCJD transmission? |
| Pelham
Mervyn Barton (University of Birmingham, UK) |
Application
of local search methods in cost-effectiveness analysis: the case of
rheumatoid arthritis |
Stream
C
Location: Think Tank
Chair: Peter Millard, University of Westminster, UK
|
| Catherine
Quantin (CHU Dijon, France) |
Using discharge
abstracts to evaluate a regional perinatal network: assessment of
the linkage procedure of anonymous data |
| Jean-Michel
Nguyen (Hôpital St Jacques - CHU Nantes, France) |
A Management
method for the allocation of child delivery beds within a health authority |
| Samantha
Mackay (Matrix Research & Consultancy Ltd, UK) |
Maternity services
strategic planning tool |
| Brijesh
Patel (University of Westminster, UK) |
Dynamics
of a performance management system: performance information to performance
knowledge |
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to top
PARALLEL SESSIONS
TUESDAY:
| Parallel
Session 3: 9:50-11:10am : Tuesday 3rd April |
Stream
A
Location:
London House Large Common Room
Chair: Adele Marshall, Queen’s University Belfast, UK
|
Girija
Jayaraman (Indian Institute of Technology, India)
|
Correlation
between air pollution and associated respiratory morbidity in Delhi |
| Nadine
Meskens (Catholic University of Mons, Belgium) |
Planning
and scheduling of endoscopic activities by taking into account the
availability of recovery beds |
| Adele
Schulz (Matrix Research & Consultancy, UK) |
Patient
choice and health market analysis |
| Penelope
Mary Mullen (University of Birmingham, UK) |
What
should the objective function be? |
Stream
B
Location: Churchill Room
Chair: David Worthington, Lancaster University, UK |
| Therese
Stukel (Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Canada) |
Causes and consequences
of regional variations in health care resource allocations in Ontario,
Canada |
| Martin
Utley (University College London, UK) |
Operational research
to support the delivery of services for common mental health problems |
| Marion
Penn (University of Southampton, UK) |
Modelling of
Hampshire adult services gearing up for future demands |
| Honora
Smith (University of Southampton, UK) |
Location
modelling for community healthcare facilities |
back
to top
| Parallel
Session 4: 11:40am-1:00pm : Tuesday 3rd April |
Stream
A
Location: London House Large Common Room
Chair: Jean-Michel Nguyen, CHU Nantes, France
|
| Silvia
Francisci (Centro Nazionale di Epidemiologia, Italy) |
Health
system evaluation: The case of in-hospital fatality for acute myocardial
infarction in Italian regions |
| Eren
Demir (University of Westminster, UK) |
A
framework for determining emergency readmission time window |
| Amina
Ettorchi (CHU Bordeaux, France) |
Access
to medical information in a teaching hospital: Proposal of a conceptual
controlled access model |
| Christina
Pagel (University College London, UK) |
Modelling
of errors in clinical databases: Inferred consequences for observed
mortality rates |
Stream
B
Location: Churchill Room
Chair: Sally McClean, University of Ulster, UK |
| Nico
Van Dijk (University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands) |
Blood platelet
optimization by stochastic dynamic programming and simulation |
| Mark
Joy (Kingston University, UK) |
Comparing predictive
mortality risk methods: artificial neural networks versus logistic
regression |
| Revlin
Abbi (University of Westminster, UK) |
Evaluating the
impact of LOS classification schemes on the prediction accuracy of
the decision tree algorithm |
| Xiaodong
Li (University of Portsmouth, UK) |
Multi-objective
bed allocation models in hospitals |
back
to top
| Parallel
Session 5: 3:00-4:20pm : Tuesday 3rd April |
Stream
A
Location: London House Large Common Room
Chair: John Blake, Dalhousie University, Canada
|
| Charles
Noon (University of Tennessee, USA) |
Determining
shift schedules for 24-hour queuing systems with varying arrival rates |
| David
Worthington (Lancaster University, UK) |
Hospital
waiting list dynamics |
| David
Stanford (University of Western Ontario, Canada) |
A
wait time study and some sensitivity results for liver transplantation
in Canada 2000 – 2004 |
| Merce
Comas (Hospital del Mar-IMAS, Spain) |
Analysis
of demand and waiting time for knee arthroplasty through discrete-event
simulation: Assessment of a Prioritization System for Waiting Lists |
Stream
B
Location: Churchill Room
Chair: Rose Baker, Salford University, UK |
| Marc
Cuggia (Université de Rennes 1, France) |
Exploiting HIS
medical data resources to manage emergency department: Application
to the study of elderly patients’ clinical pathways |
| Adele
Marshall (Queens University of Belfast, UK) |
Statistical modelling
of time and outcome in an accident and emergency department |
| Murat
Gunal (Lancaster University, UK) |
An inpatient
simulation model to predict elective and emergency patient waiting
times |
| Yael
Perlman (Bar-llan University, Israel) |
A replenishment
period which minimizes the transportation cost related to both regular
and urgent orders |
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to top
PARALLEL SESSIONS
WEDNESDAY:
| Parallel
Session 6: 9:10-10:50am : Wednesday 4th April |
Stream
A
Location: London House Large Common Room
Chair: Paul Harper, Southampton University, UK |
| Xiaoqiang
Li (University of Toronto, Canada) |
The
construction of the confidence interval for the nursing health human
resources planning modelling projection |
| Alejandra
Duenas (University of Sheffield, UK) |
A
genetic algorithm approach to the nurse scheduling problem with fuzzy
preferences |
| Sping
Wang (University of Toronto, Canada) |
Health workforce
planning: projection of requirements for new nursing graduates |
| Edward
Conley (Cardiff University, UK) |
Simultaneous trend analysis for evaluating outcomes
in patient-centred health monitoring services |
| Mónica
Oliveira (Inst. Superior Técnico, Portugal) |
Optimization
of hospital networks: Hierarchical and multiproduct models with application
to the Portuguese health care system |
Stream
B
Location: Churchill Room
Chair: Adele Marshall, Queen’s University, UK |
Paul
Avillach (Université Victor Segalen Bordeaux 2, France)
|
Improving the
data coding quality of standardized discharge abstracts with statistical
and semantic methods |
| Rose
Baker (University of Salford, UK) |
A new approach
to outliers in meta-analysis |
| Lars
Krogsgaard Thomsen (Danish Medicines Agency, Denmark) |
Combining two
databases – mortality among schizophrenic patients |
| Alex
Bottle (Imperial College London, UK) |
Predicting the
false alarm rate in multi-institution mortality monitoring |
| James
Little (University College Cork, Ireland) |
Constraint-based
Inventory Policy |
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to top |
